| |
Ebook
Description :
Crowds move
markets and at major market
turning points, the crowds are
almost always wrong. When crowd
sentiment is overwhelmingly
positive or overwhelmingly
negative ? it's a signal that
the trend is exhausted and the
market is ready to move
powerfully in the opposite
direction. Sentiment has long
been a tool used by equity,
futures, and options traders.
In Sentiment in the Forex
Market, FXCM analyst Jaime
Saettele applies sentiment
analysis to the currency market,
using both traditional and new
sentiment indicators, including:
Commitment of Traders reports;
time cycles; pivot points;
oscillators; and Fibonacci time
and price ratios. He also
explains how to interpret news
coverage of the markets to get a
sense of when participants have
become overly bullish or
bearish. Saettele points out
that several famous traders such
as George Soros and Robert
Prechter made huge profits by
identifying shifts in crowd
sentiment at major market
turning points. Many individual
traders lose money in the
currency market, Saettele
asserts, because they are too
short-term oriented and trade
impulsively. He believes retail
traders would be much more
successful if they adopted a
longer-term, contrarian
approach, utilizing sentiment
indicators to position
themselves at the beginning
points of major trends.
From the Inside
:
With a
number of firms now offering
retail traders direct access to
the interbank foreign exchange
market, participation in the FX
market has grown substantially.
As a result, the amount of
technical and fundamental
information available to traders
has increased exponentially in
recent years. An area that has
failed to receive the same
amount of attention is
sentiment.
Trading on
sentiment works because market
tops occur when the majority of
traders are overwhelmingly
bullish and market bottoms occur
when an overwhelming majority is
bearish. Traders that understand
how to determine when a
particular market is extremely
bullish or bearish have an edge
over those traders that follow
only traditional technicals or
fundamentals.
Nobody is
more familiar with this
situation than author Jamie
Saettele. As a Technical
Currency Analyst for Forex
Capital Markets LLC—the largest
player in the online
currency-trading industry—Saettele
shares his invaluable insights
with thousands of traders each
day. Now, with Sentiment in the
Forex Market, he'll show you how
to achieve unparalleled
investment success byintegrating
only the most effective
sentiment indicators into your
daily currency trading
activities.
Written with
the serious trader in mind, this
practical guide provides you
with the knowledge needed to
develop a top-down,
sentiment-based approach to
trading the Forex market.
Throughout these pages, Saettele
puts the entire process in
perspective, as he examines how
to use Commitments of Traders
(COT) reports and other
important indicators to locate
sentiment extremes that can lead
to profitable market reversals.
Along the way, he also explains
how to interpret market news
coverage to gain a greater sense
of when participants have become
overly bullish or bearish. After
exploring what it takes to gauge
the psychological state of the
market, Saettele rounds out the
discussion by addressing how to
assess risk and time your
currency trades using Elliott
Wave theory, Fibonacci
principles, and other powerful
technical tools.
To profit
from today's foreign exchange
market, sentiment should play an
important role in your trading
program. With Sentiment in the
Forex Market as your guide,
you'll quickly discover why this
is true and how you can make
more money with this proven
method.
Table of
contents :
Preface ix
Acknowledgments xi
CHAPTER 1 The Argument for a
Sentiment-Based
Approach 1
What Is Fundamental? 4
Top-Down Approach 4
Reminiscences of a Stock Operator 5
CHAPTER 2 The
Problem with Fundamental Analysis 9
How the Human Brain Works 10
The Myth of Economic Indicators 11
Nonfarm Payrolls 12
Gross Domestic Product 16
Trade Balance 18
Treasury International Capital 19
Producer and Consumer Price Indexes
25
Conclusion 30
CHAPTER 3 The
Power of Magazine Covers 31
The Death of Equities—August 13,
1979 32
Magazine Covers in the Currency
Market 32
Conclusion 49
CHAPTER 4 Using
News Headlines to Generate Signals
53
Where to Look 67
Conclusion 67
CHAPTER 5
Sentiment Indicators 69
Commitments of Traders Reports 70
History of U.S. Futures Trading 71
Currency Futures History 73
Reading the COT Report 74
Using COT Data with Spot FX Price
Charts 75
Understanding the Data 76
Watching the Commercials 77
Watching the Speculators 78
Commercial and Speculators Give the
Same Signal 80
The Approach 83
Open Interest 91
Other Sentiment Indicators 93
Conclusion 100
CHAPTER 6 The
Power of Technical Indicators 101
What Is Technical Analysis? 103
Keep It Simple 104
What Time Frames to Use? 104
Support and Resistance 105
Determining a Bias 108
Fancy Momentum Indicators and
Overbought/Oversold 125
When to Get Out 141
CHAPTER 7
Explanation of Elliott Wave and
Fibonacci 151
Who Was Elliott? 151
Fibonacci: The Mathematical
Foundation 163
Ratios 168
Specific Setups 169
Some Differences between Stocks and
FX in Elliott 175
Building Up from Lower Time Frames
178
Multiyear Forecast for the U.S.
Dollar 179
Multiyear Forecast for the USDJPY
179
Conclusion 181
CHAPTER 8
Putting It All Together 183
Why Most Traders Lose 183
Developing a Process 184
In Conclusion 185
Notes 187
Index 191


-
Language :
English
- Author :
Jamie
Saettele
(Author)
-
Premium Ebook :
Full version ebook
211 pages , straight to the point
illustrations and graphs!
-
File Format :
PDF
" A
compact, authoritative guide for
success in the forex marked "
Testimonials :
be the first to rate! |